Line: Mia -7; Total: 41
ATS: Mia 4-7; LSU 5-5-1
O/U: Mia 4-7; LSU 6-5
Games over 41: Mia -5
Games over 41: LSU -6
The only non-BCS, Top 10 matchup will be in the Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl. Miami makes a return visit to Atlanta after defeating Florida in last year’s game. LSU comes by way of a loss in the SEC Championship Game to Georgia. LSU will be without their starting QB JaMarcus Russell; backup Matt Flynn will make his first career start. Both teams bring in top ranked defenses in what should be a low scoring affair.
Miami Offense vs LSU Defense:
The throwing of Sophomore Kyle Wright and running of Charlie Jones lead Miami’s balanced offensive attack. Jones replaced Tyrone Moss when Moss went down with a knee injury against Virginia Tech. At the receiver positions are Sinorice Moss (brother of Santana), Ryan Moore, and Lance Leggett. This group does not have quite the talent of past groups, but is still very capable of big plays. LSU brings one of the best defensive lines in the nation into this game. Defensive Tackles Claude Wrotten and Kyle Williams lead the Tigers in their attempt to eat up opposing quarterbacks. If there is a weakness on this LSU defense it would be in the secondary. Missed assignments have led to many big plays against this unit. It will important for LSU to get pressure Kyle Wright with the front four and they should be able against an offensive line which has struggled at times this year.
LSU Offense vs Miami Defense:
LSU lost their starter and offensive leader, JaMarcus Russell in the SEC Championship Game with a shoulder injury. Matt Flynn has attempted only 26 passes this season, but has thrown 5 TD. The running game was expected to very good this season, but with injuries this group has not gotten off the ground averaging only 140 yards per game. This ‘Cane defense is one of the best to come along at “The U”, but it lacks the star power of past teams. The line is led by DT Orien Harris and the LB by Rocky McIntosh. The Secondary is best unit on this defense with safeties Brandon Merriweather and Kenny Phillips providing excellent pass and run coverage. The defense has been somewhat susceptible to the run, but Miami is still yielding only 104 yards per game on the ground.
Miami’s Devin Hester made big plays in last year’s Peach Bowl and expect him to do the same this year. LSU’s Skyler Green is also a dangerous punt returner for the Tigers. Both teams have reliable field goal kickers and punters.
Miami’s Larry Coker has been in these situations before having coached in three BCS games already. Les Miles got more than he bargained when he took over this job. LSU looked lost at times in the SEC Championship Game.
LSU will have to return to the place of their biggest margin of defeat all season and it was the last game they played. Additionally, they lost their leader in JaMarcus Russell and will have to rely on a backup to face on the best defenses in the country.
43rd in Scoring Offense (29.3)
50th in Passing Offense (226.0)
61st in Total Offense (371.3)
8th in Scoring Defense (15.2)
7th in Rushing Defense (94.7)
5th in Total Defense (276.3)
2nd in Scoring Defense (11.9)
1st in Passing Defense (148.2)
3rd in Total Defense (252.1)
49th in Scoring Offense (28.6)
49th in Passing Offense (226.3)
64th in Total Offense (366.2)
Miami: +0.55 per game
LSU: -0.83 per game
Record vs Bowl Teams:
Miami Best Win: @ Va Tech (10-2) 27-7
Miami Worst Loss: vs Ga Tech (7-4) 10-14
LSU Best Win: vs Auburn (9-2) 20-17
LSU Worst Loss: vs Tennessee (5-6) 27-30
Prediction: Miami 23 LSU 13