Tuesday, December 27, 2005

Blue Turf War


Boston College (8-3, 5-3) vs Boise State (9-3, 7-1) Boise, ID 4:30 ET ESPN
Line: BC –2; Total: 54
Boise State- ATS:6-4-1 O/U:4-7; Totals Over 54 (9) Under 54 (3)
Boston College- ATS:6-5 O/U:4-6-1; Totals Over 54 (1) Under 54 (10)

Boston College travels to Boise to play Boise St in what will essentially be a road game for the Eagles. This is not unfamiliar territory for a team that traveled to Charlotte last year to face UNC for the Tire Bowl. This bowl game has more than your normal amount of storylines for a lower tier bowl. Boise State’s Dan Hawkins will be coaching in his last game for the Broncos as he will take over the Colorado job after the bowl game. BC, who tied FSU, for the Atlantic Division, has to be upset about playing in a bowl game in Idaho. Boise State has not lost a game on their blue turf since a 41-20 defeat at the hand of Washington State 2001; a NCAA best 31 consecutive wins.

Boise State Offense:
QB Jared Zabransky: 2, 283 yards, 17 TD, 59.3%; 10 Rushing TD
8th in scoring offense in the nation (37.3)
15th in rushing offense in the nation (215.7)
23rd in total offense (430.3)

Boston College Defense:
DE Mathias Kiwanuka: 15.5 TFL, 9.5 Sacks
9th in scoring defense (15.4)
8th in rushing defense (95.2)
18th in total defense (307.3)

Boise State Defense:
52nd in scoring defense (24.2)
19th in rushing defense (106.3)
55th in total defense (368.6)

Boston College Offense:
64th in scoring offense (25.7)
36th in passing offense (241.5)
46th in total offense (388.2)

Boise State: -0.50 per game
Boston College: -0.55 per game

Record vs Bowl Teams:
Boise State: 1-2
Boston College: 4-2

Boise State Best Win: vs Nevada 49-14
Boise State Worst Loss: @ Georgia 13-48

Boston College Best Win: @ Clemson 16-13 OT
Boston College Worst Loss: @ UNC 14-16

Prediction: Boston College presents the best opponent for Boise since their game versus Georgia. Each team will be fighting some possible off the field issues; Boise playing the last game for Dan Hawkins and BC dealing with bowl selection disappointment. BC is the more talented team, but more importantly the much larger team. Their offensive line is bigger than that of Georgia's and will punish Boise much of the day. The Broncos will keep it very close, but come up short in their bid for a 32nd straight home win.
Boston College 27 Boise State 21

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