Sunday, January 29, 2006

Looking Back...Looking Ahead

7-5 with my picks last weekend. Not great by any stretch of the imagination for my picks. The only real shocker was Wake losing (again) at home to a winless Virginia Tech team. Wake was without its leading scorer Justin Gray, but VT was missing 3 key players as well. I guess Chris Paul was that valuable. I look for the Hokies to make a small run here to get back close to .500 in the conference. They have dug themselves in such a hole though that they still need to get to at least 7 wins and go far in the ACC Tournament to have a shot at the Tournament. Their next 2 games are at home vs Ga Tech (coming off its fifh straight loss) and BC (who has 4 in a row in conference play).

I thought Clemson-NC State would be the best game of the weekend and it turned out to be with a 2 overtimes needed for the Pack to pull it out.

Florida got back on track, but they needed a dominating second half performance to win. LSU looks like the class of the SEC West right now. They went into Oxford and pretty much controlled the whole way in route to their 6th straight conference win. Kentucky, led by Rajon Rondo, showed a lot of poise and grit coming back from 18 down very early on to beat Arkansas. I still like Arkansas come SEC Tourney time to make some noise. Kentucky is doing just enough to win games right now, but their margin for error is still razor thin. Alabama has gone from below .500 to 4-2 in conference.
I will have to change my most disappointing to Mississippi State (though I think the SEC is shaking out about like expected - except for Tennessee).

Home teams went 7-4 this weekend (63%), less than I would have thought.

Looking ahead to some of the top games this week:
Tue: GT @ VT 7:00 FSN, WF @ Miami 9:00 FSN, Fla @ OM 8:00 ESPN2
Wed: Clem @ FSU 7:00, UVA @ NC St 7:00 FSN, Duke @ BC 9:00 ESPN, Alab @ UGA 7:30, Vand @ Tenn 7:30, Aub @ LSU 8:00, UK @ Miss St 8:00 JP
Thur: UNC @ Mld 7:00 ESPN

Some teams face must wins this week if they want any shot at the NCAA's (Ga Tech, Va Tech, Wake, Miss State, Georgia). Clemson vs FSU may help start to settle out the middle pack of the ACC. Alabama will face a tough road test traveling to Athens.

Best game of the week should be Duke @ Boston College. After losing their first three ACC games, BC has ripped off four straight. This may be the toughest game remaining for Duke in the ACC. Ole Miss will be no picnic for the Gators either. The Gators are not nearly as good on the road as they are at home.

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