Tuesday, January 2, 2007

Sugar Bowl Preview: LSU vs Notre Dame


Sugar Bowl New Orleans, LA Jan 3 8PM FOX

LSU vs Notre Dame
Line: -8, 56
8:00 PM ETW/LATSHAAFAAO/U
Notre Dame 10-2-05-6-06-14-132.422.46-5-0
Louisiana State 10-2-07-5-08-02-233.112.57-5-0
Quick Hits:
LSU 4-2 ATS last 6
LSU 3-1 O/U last 4
LSU as favorite: 7-3 ATS, 10-0 SU, 7-3 O/U

Notre Dame 3-1 ATS last 4
Notre Dame 3-1 O/U last 4
Notre Dame as Dog: 0-1 ATS, 0-1 SU, 0-1 O/U

Season Recaps:
Notre Dame is 5-2 vs Bowl Teams; Avg score 27.5 - 24.3
LSU is 4-2 vs Bowl Teams; Avg score 24.8 - 15.7

LSU Offense vs Notre Dame Defense
17th in Total Offense vs 45th in Total Defense
37th in Rushing vs 50th in Rushing
23rd in Passing vs 50th in Passing
10th in Pts Per Game vs 57th in Pts Per Game

Notre Dame Offense vs LSU Defense
22nd in Total Offense vs 2nd in Total Defense
76th in Rushing vs 15th in Rushing
10th in Passing vs 3rd in Passing
12th in Pts Per Game vs 4th in Pts Per Game

Prediction:
LSU has a decided talent advantage and they will also benefit from a largely Tiger friendly crowd in New Orleans. However, the Tigers have not always played up to their talent level under Les Miles. Notre Dame has been told they do not have a chance in this game and the fact that they have lost their last 8 bowl games. This game will come down to Notre Dame's defense because their offense will be able to score points. I like LSU to feed off the energy of the crowd and use this as a springboard to next season.

LSU Wins, Covers, Under

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