Sunday, October 29, 2006

Tech, Gators Close in on Division Titles

Another brutal week ATS (2-6). Over/Under saved me a little bit going 3-1. Another saving grace was 12-1 SU picks.

Next week's preview will have some different angles on the spreads including a possible teaser games.

VIRGINIA TECH 24 CLEMSON 7
The Hokies dominated the Tigers in a Thursday night game. Clemson looked like a totally different team than the one who blew out Georgia Tech just five days priop. The loss is a huge one for Clemson as they now need several losses by teams in front of them to make the ACC Championship. Let's take a look at what I thought were the keys to the game.
Keys for Virginia Tech:
1. Watch Out for Thunder and Lightning
CJ Spiller ran for 41 yards - long of 13 yards, 2 rec for 7 yards; James Davis ran for 30 yards and 1 TD - long of 9 yards. The Hokies used eight and sometimes nine men in the box to stop the Tigers. VT held Clemson to just 166 total yards
2. Glennon or Whitaker, Does It Matter?
Glennon was 9-15, 108 yards, 0TD, 0INT, 6 rushes for -12 yards. Even. Glennon only had to throw 15 times as Branden Ore ran all over the field.
3. Make the Special Teams Special Again
Hokies did not have any big plays on special teams, but played solid.
Keys for Clemson:
1. Run Until You Can't
The Tigers only ran the ball 28 times and it looked like they were running sucessfully, but decided to rely on the pass to come back.
2. Take Your Gaines With Your Losses
Gaines Adams played well, but was not near the dominant force last week. The whole Tiger defense looked tired in the second half maybe because of their five day turnaround with travel.
3. Strike Early
The Tigers got on the board first, but then gave up 24 answered.

GEORGIA TECH 30 MIAMI 23
The Yellow Jackets are now two wins away from clinching a spot in the ACC Championship after defeating Miami. The Hurricanes had a fumble recovery for a TD, but could never get going on offense and appeared to wear down in the fourth quarter. Two fumbles, including the last play of the game, epitomize the struggles of this year. Miami is simply not making the plays they have in the past - dropped interceptions (2 this game), 3 fumbles, allowing 7 sacks. Larry Coker is likely gone now that the Hurricanes ACC title hopes are on life support.
Keys for Miami:
1. Establish a Ground Game
Miami ran for 71 net yards, but freshman Javarris James did rush for 113 yards on 19 carries
2. Down for the Count?
Miami ran out to a 10-0 lead, but were dominated in the 2nd half and simply wore down.
3. Kyle Wright > Reggie Ball
Wright was 20-31, 246 yards, 1TD, 1INT, 1FUM, 7Sacks. Ball was 11-27, 188 yards, 2TD 0INT 1FUM 4 Sacks.
Keys for Georgia Tech
1. Line of Scrimmage
Tech established a physical ground game with Choice rushing for 107 yards. Ball was sacked four times. However, the Georgia Tech defense sacked Kyle Wright seven times and held James to just 64 yards on 18 carries minus a big 49 yard run
2. Calvinism
Calvin Johnson 5-68yards-1TD
3. Punch in the Mouth
The punch in the mouth was delivered first by Miami on the first play, but the Tech defense responsed with seven sacks forcing 4 turnovers. The knockout punch came from Tashard Choice TD pushing him over 100 yards rushing.

FLORIDA 21 GEORGIA 14
The Gators raced out to a 21-0 lead early in the third, but the Bulldogs fought back and had a chance to tie in the fourth quarter before Florida ran out the clock. This game was full of defense as neither offense really got going in this game. Matt Stafford struggled again in passing the ball, but showed some good feet in running for one TD. Lets take a look at what I thought would be the keys to the game.
Keys for Georgia:
1. Find a Leak in the Florida Line
Georgia never sacked Chris Leak, but did force 1INT
2. Specialize
Henderson returned just one punt for five yards even though Florida punted six times.
3. Take Your Lumps
Lumpkin rushed 11 times for 43 yards and 1 TD, but also had a fumble returned for a TD
Keys for Florida:
1. Gator Bait
Florida sacked Matt Stafford four times and forced him into two picks and two fumbles
2. Where Theres a Wynn Theres a Win
The Gators outrushed Georgia 163 to 98 with a combination of Tebow, Harvin, and Wynn carrying the ball eight times each.
3. Percy Have Mercy
Harvin was the leading rusher for Florida with 8 carries for 37 yards, but did not have a huge impact in the game.

TENNESSEE 31 SOUTH CAROLINA 24
The Vols stayed in the SEC East race with a big, road victory in Columbia. Erik Ainge led the charge completing 72% of his passes and throwing 2 TD. The Gamecocks turned the ball over three times to Tennessee's one in the loss and failed to get the ball to Sidney Rice in the end zone. Lets take a look at what I thought would be the keys to the game.
Keys for Tennessee:
1. Newton Discovery
Newton was Spurrier's leading rusher with 85 yards on the ground and 1TD. Newton was not sacked the entire night.
2. Volunteer for Blocking
Ainge was only sacked once and was given time to complete 21 of 29 passes. The Vols managed 94 yards on the ground as well.
3. Balancing Act
The Vols threw for 254 yards, but did rush 23 times as compared to 29 times passing.
Keys for South Carolina:
1. Stretch the Field
The Gamecocks did have four completions of 20 yards or more and two for 30+ yards
2. Rice
Sidney Rice had only 3 catches for 52 yards and was held scoreless, but he was also held most of the night by Tennessee defenders.
3. Last Year Was Last Year
The Vols took a 14-0 lead aided by an interception return for a TD, but the Gamecocks pulled ahead 17-14 in the 3rd quarter. The difference between this year and last year is the play of Erik Ainge.

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