Friday, December 29, 2006

Dawgs and Hokies and Chicken Nuggets

Chick Fil A Bowl Atlanta, GA 8:00 ESPN
Virginia Tech 10-2 vs Georgia 8-4
Line: VT -2.5, 37.5
Virginia Tech 10-2-0 7-4-0 7-1 3-1 26 9.3 3-8-0
Georgia 8-4-0 4-6-1 5-2 3-2 24.7 17.1 4-7-0
Quick Hits:
VT is 5-1 ATS in last 6
VT last 5 games have gone Under
VT has not gone over 37 since 10/21 vs So Miss (36-6)
UGA has gone over 37 in 5 of last 7 games
UGA has two straight wins over Top 20 teams
UGA will be playing with just 6 scholarship offensive lineman

Season Recap Virginia Tech
Big Wins: vClem 24-7, @WF 27-6
Bad Losses: @BC 3-22
Record vs Bowl Teams: 5-2
Common Opp: vGT 27-38

Season Recap Georgia
Big Wins: @Aub 37-15, vGT 15-12
Bad Losses: vTenn 33-51, vVand 22-24
Record vs Bowl Teams: 3-3
Common Opp: vGT15-12

Virginia Tech Offense VS Georgia Defense
26 ppg, 185 pypg, 116 rypg VS17 ppg, 150 pygp, 114 rypg
The Hokies rely on All-ACC back Branden Ore to move the ball. QB Sean Glennon has improved as the season has gone on, but is not a protypical drop back passer. Georgia's defense has been soft up the middle against the run. If the Bulldogs can slow Ore, I like their pass defense against Sean Glennon passing the ball.

Georgia Offense VS Virginia Tech Defense
25 ppg, 189 pypg, 132 rypg VS 9 ppg, 128 pypg, 93 rypg
Despite throwing just 6TD to 12INT, Matt Stafford has played much better in his last two games (both wins). Still, Georgia would like to get Kregg Lumpkin and Danny Ware going on the ground as their WR corps has not been very reliable this year. Virginia Tech is nasty again on defense allowing just six points over their final three games. With just six offensive lineman playing, I expect the Hokies to come after Stafford. The Hokies need to force Stafford into some freshman mistakes.

Va Tech as Fav: 6-4ATS, 8-2SU, 3-7 O/U
UGA as Dog: 2-1ATS, 1-2SU, 2-1 O/U

Georgia will have the crowd in their favor playing just 60 miles from Athens. You can believe Mark Richt has not let anything slip in bowl game preparation after what happened in last years Sugar Bowl. But the Bulldogs will have a tough time overcoming their lack of depth on the offensive line against a punishing defense. Georgia will give the Hokies all they can handle, but will come up short.

Virginia Tech Wins, Georgia Covers, Over

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