Saturday, March 3, 2007

Last Weekend of the Regular Season

Miami vs Florida State 12:00 Raycom
This is a must win for FSU and it still probably won't be enough unless they make the ACC Tournament final. Miami's RPI of below 150 suggests any team that loses to them or has lost to them is in danger of not making the Tournament. FSU will still be without Toney Douglas, but Al Thornton will step up and lead the Seminoles to the win on the road.

Georgia vs Tennessee 4:00 Lincoln Financial
Senior Day in Athens and Levi Stukes will be playing. The Maryland native was suspended indefinitely earlier this week, but has been reinstated as the Bulldogs try finish strong at 9-7 in the SEC after a fast start of 5-2. However, I think there may be a team
chemistry issue right now in Athens and Tennessee is not the team you want to face right now in the SEC. If Georgia wins this game there will be a lot of talk whether or not the Bulldogs are in or not. I lean towards not due to the injury of Mike Mercer and how they played before versus after losing him. But it might be a moot point anyway as Tennessee will win a close one.
"Is Georgia in or not"
Sunday
North Carolina vs Duke 4:00 CBS
More than just bragging rights is on the line in Chapel Hill on Sunday. North Carolina needs to win and hope Virginia and Virginia Tech falter in order for the Tar Heels to take the regular season crown. I don't see that happening so it looks like the best Carolina can do is third place. Meanwhile, Duke is in danger of slipping to the number seven seed if Georgia Tech beats Boston College and the Devils can't pull of the upset. Six or seven seed means the difference between playing NC State or Wake in the first round, which is pretty big IMO. Any other buildup needed for this game? Just try that Duke just got swept by Maryland, who they view as their red headed step child, and North Carolina has lost two in a row. I don't think the Tar Heels will lose three in a row. I like UNC in a close, hard fought game.

Virginia Tech vs Clemson 1:00 Ray/Linc Fin
Clemson needed overtime to beat Miami this week - not the message you want to send to the Selection Committee as bubble team. Virginia's Tech regular season title hopes are down the drain after a road loss at Virginia, but they can still fight for the number two spot. Both teams may be the most athletic in the ACC, but the Hokies big advantage lies in their experienced backcourt of Jamon Gordon and Zabian Dowdell. It is also Senior Day in Blacksburg. Any other questions? Virginia Tech rolls in their home finale.

Georgia Tech vs Boston College 3:00 ABC
A huge win for Georgia Tech over North Carolina giving them their second win over a top 15 RPI team. Meanwhile, once the front runner for the ACC, Boston College is fighting to hold onto fourth spot and a first round bye. I think Georgia Tech is trending upward and Boston College is trending downward as we come to a close on the regular season. If Georgia Tech can shoot like they did on Thursday, this game will be over with 5 minutes to go, but I they won't and will have to stay out of foul trouble against a well coached Boston College team. The key will be turnovers and taking advantage of them. Georgia Tech will turn the ball over, but can BC capitalize enough to overcome the athleticism and size advantage of the Yellow Jackets. I like Georgia Tech in a nail biter.

Florida vs Kentucky
To say Florida is going to repeat right now does not look good with the way they have playing. They have let teams beat them at their own game and to me it looks as if they have lost a little bit of that fire. Kentucky, while in the Tournament, is looking for a signature win to bump them up to a 4 or 5 seed come Selection Sunday. Problem is that the Gators have played awfully well at home this year. Maybe Florida has been resting up for the Tournament? Joakim Noah hasn't been resting too well as of late, but it may not all be basketball related. I like Florida at home.


Recap:
FSU over Miami
Tennessee over Georgia
North Carolina over Duke
Va Tech over Clemson
Georgia Tech over BC
Florida over Kentucky

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