Tuesday, August 28, 2007

Florida, Tennessee Season Preview

9-4, 5-3

Returning Starters: 11, 6 Off, 5 Def
Letterman Returning: 44 (20 Off, 23 Def, 1 ST)
Letterman Lost: 26 (13 Off, 11 Def, 3 ST)

2006 ATS:
8-4 ATS
5-3 Fav
3-1 Dog
5-3 Off SU Win
2-1 Off SU Loss
4-0 Away Fav
1-3 Home Fav

Last 7 Years ATS:
27-35 Fav
11-9 Dog
22-32 Off SU Win
12-9 Off SU Loss
14-27 Home Fav
12-7 Away Fav

Tennessee enters the 2007 with a wide range of predictions. They only return 11 starters total, but man feel Erik Ainge will have a big season in his second year under the tutelage of David Cutcliff (Peyton and Eli Manning). Running back LaMarcus Coker had some off season issues, but it appears he will be reinstated in time for the first game. The main area of concern is the wide receiver where all three starters were lost. Former FSU Seminole Kenny O’Neal could be the go to guy for Ainge. Eight of the top 10 lineman from a year ago returns, but the Vols did lose their best lineman in Arron Sears. Defensively, the top returns are FS Jonathan Hefney and LB Jerod Mayo. Watch out for freshman Eric Berry at one corner. The Georgia player of the year figures to be in the mix early.
Sep 1 @ Cal – rematch from last season where the Vols introduced Cal to the SEC; Cal will be looking for revenge on their turf
Sep 15 @ Fla – loser of this game is all but eliminated from the SEC East (hasn’t made it to SECCG since 97)
Oct 6 vs Georgia – most likely chance for a Georgia loss before the Fla game; Vols have week off before and play Ark St the week before that so they should be ready
Oct 20 @ Alabama – first game in Tuscaloosa with Saban at the helm; Vols have won 10 of the last 12
Oct 27 vs So. Car – back to back tough games with Spurrier going 8-4 vs Fulmer all time
Nov 10 vs Arkansas – Ainge did not play last year in a beatdown by the Razorbacks
Nov 24 @ Kentucky – Tennessee has won 24 straight in this series, but this is the Wildcats best chance in years

Best Case: 10-2
Worst Case: 7-5


13-1, 7-1

Returning Starters: 8, 6 Off, 2 Def
Letterman Returning: 38 (21 Off, 13 Def, 4 ST)
Letterman Lost: 27 (8 Off, 16 Def, 3 ST)

2006 ATS:
4-7-1 ATS
4-7-1 Fav
0-0 Dog
3-6-1 Off SU Win
0-1 Off SU Loss
0-4 Away Fav

Last 7 Years ATS:
31-34-2 Fav
9-4 Dog
29-27-1 Off SU Win
6-9-1 Off SU Loss
6-14 Away Fav

The defending national champions are really hoping those last two stellar recruiting classes are ready to play. With just 8 starters and 38 letterman back, the Florida Gators will have a lot of new faces on the field. Tim Tebow will take over for four year starter Chris Leak and is much more suited for Urban Meyer’s offensive. Percy Harvin will become more of focal of the offense this year lining up at RB, WR, TE, QB, just about everywhere; they have to get the ball in his hands as much as possible. The o-line lost 1 starter from last year and a potential starter before the year began (RG Ronnie Wilson). On the defensive side of the ball, just Derrick Harvey and Tony Joiner return as starters. A lot of speed and talent, but not very much experience will be the headline for this unit early on. Biggest concern is at CB where sophomore and redshirt freshmen are likely to be the starters.

Sep 15 vs Tenn – first real test for the Gators; this game will tell the story if the Gators are going to repeat in the SEC or turn into a Ron Zook type year
Sep 29 vs Auburn – payback for their only loss last year; Auburn has made a living off beating the Gators when they are highly ranked
Oct 6 @ LSU – LSU won the yard battle last year, but Florida won the turnover battle (5-2); could be a rematch in the SECCG
Oct 20 @ Kentucky – this game is more important because this is the first time in many a moon that Florida will play the week before the Ga game – and Kentucky is no pushover
Oct 27 Georgia (Jax)- fourth tough game in five weeks; Florida owns Georgia as of late, but Georgia could be a sleeper this year in the East

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