Thursday, September 6, 2007

Week 2 Predictions

Virginia Tech @ LSU 9:15 ESPN
Line: LSU -12.5, 38.5

I look for LSU to stack the box against the run to come out blitzing Sean Glennon a lot to make him beat the Tigers with quick decisions. The emotion for Virginia Tech will be different this week, but they should be more composed than last week despite playing in front of a raucous LSU crowd. I look for the LSU defense to carry them again this week to a score or setup of a score.

12.5 is a lot for two teams in the top 25 squaring off even if it at LSU. The total is low, but you would expect that with two top flight defensive teams. If Virginia Tech loses by that much, then they really are not the team we thought they could be.

LSU Wins, VT Covers, Under

Miami @ Oklahoma 12:00 ABC
Line: Okla -10.5, 43.5

Look for Miami to try and put a lot of pressure on OU's new QB and make him beat them with 8 men in the box. I still think OU can run on Miami with the line stuffed because of Allen Patrick and their offensive line. Graig Cooper and Javarris James have to get the Canes running attack going or else the offense could be in for a long afternoon. I think Miami needs to play for a defensive struggle and hope they can turn it in on late turnover.

OU is favored by less at home than LSU is! The total seems a little high to me. I know the Sooners scored 79 versus North Texas, but this is not the Mean Green. This is Miami's first emotional game under Shannon, so it will be interesting to see how they react if they get down - this Miami is not unaccustomed to losing unlike years past.

Prediction: OU Wins, Covers, Under

South Carolina @ Georgia 5:45 ESPN2
Line: UGA -4.5, 45

Spurrier did not take much out of his playbook last week keeping it very vanilla in prep for this game. I think the Gamecocks will pull out of all stops in this game as they are out manned (as usual vs Georgia). Both teams have the ability to get balance on offense and take away that balance from their defense. Matt Stafford looked very poised in the pocket last week and the running game showed promise.

4.5 points is not very many points for a ranked team at home versus an unranked team, especially for Georgia who has been very good at home under Mark Richt. I think both of these teams offenses are underrated and could have success running and throwing. Blake Mitchell is in his first game this season after numerous off field troubles in the off season. Hard to bet against Georgia at home with the way they looked last week.

Georgia Wins, Covers, Over

Week 1:
3-1 SU
4-0 ATS
3-1 Over/Under

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