Monday, October 8, 2007

Power Rankings Week 6

I did the power rankings based on how good I think each team is. Head to head matchups, wins, and losses all play apart in the rankings, but I also rank on how I think the team is going to fare that week and by the end of the year. For example, I have Florida rated higher than Auburn in the SEC. But wait a minute, Auburn beat Florida at Florida! This is true, but if Florida and Auburn played 2 out 3, 3 out 5, etc, Florida would prove to be the better team in my opinion. It is very hard to this in each conference outside of the top team and the bottom 3. Anybody could beat anybody from 2-9 in the SEC and ACC.

You will also see this in my National Top 10. How do I put USC at #5 you ask? The Trojans had an aberration on Saturday night. They could play Stanford 5 more times this year and win all 5. They will be favored in every game they play the rest of the year except for Cal and I expect them to have at most 1 more loss in the regular season.

ACC Rankings
1. Boston College
Eagles have passed every test so far this season; Matt Ryan is the best QB in the ACC or SEC.
2. Virginia Tech
Hokies got back to Beamer Ball with Special Teams and INT en route to a big win over Clemson
3. Maryland
Terps should be undefeated in the ACC without the collapse at Wake
4. Virginia
Down 10 in the 2nd half was a game the Cavs would have lost in prior years
5. Florida State
Xavier Lee has provided a spark to a stagnant Seminole offense
6. Georgia Tech
Underachieving at 1-3 in the ACC with their talent
7. Clemson
Suddenly, Clemson cannot run or pass after blowing out opponents in their first 4 game
8. Wake Forest
Doesn’t appear they can overtake BC, but they can beat anyone else in the ACC
9. Miami
Hurricanes cannot afford to get down by 27 and expect to win with inconsistent QB play
10. North Carolina
11. NC State
12. Duke

SEC Rankings
1. LSU
Les Miles is the new Riverboat Gambler of the SEC with multiple 4th quarter 4th down conversions
2. Florida
Still think the Gators are best in the East, but little room for error with two conference losses
3. South Carolina
Gamecocks are in a great position to win the East this year if they can get better QB play.
4. Tennessee
Huge win for Vols over Georgia; defense was able to build some confidence shutting Bulldogs out in 1st half
5. Kentucky
It says something that Woodson played his worst game in two years and the Wildcats were still competitive in the 4th quarter
6. Georgia
East hopes are all but done; blowout loss on road was very uncharacteristic under the Richt regime.
7. Auburn
Two good wins in a row; looks like Tigers are back on track
8. Alabama
As of now, Tide do not appear to be much better than last year as they had to hold on against Houston
9. Arkansas
Razorbacks at #9 show depth of SEC
10. Vanderbilt
11. Miss St
12. Ole Miss

National Top 10
1. LSU
2. Cal
3. Ohio State
4. Oklahoma
5. USC
6. Boston College
7. South Florida
8. Florida
9. Oregon
10. West Virginia

LSU showed what they are made off with two 4th quarter TDs against Florida. Cal has been the beneficiary of all these teams above them losing. Offense is great, defense is still suspect. Ohio State just keeps winning with execution and coaching. A weak Big 10 helps could help them go undefeated. Oklahoma has played very well all year except for 1 quarter against Colorado. Already discussed USC. Boston College may do the most with the least amount of talent of any good team in the country. Matt Ryan could start for half a dozen NFL teams right now. South Florida is the epitome of ugly wins, but so was Ohio State in 2002. I still think Florida is a very tough out. They have to find a running game outside of Tebow though as he does everything on offense right now. Oregon was a ½ yard away from tying Cal late in that game and they will be very tough to beat at Autzen Stadium. West Virginia rolled up the yards against Syracuse, but Pat White went down again. The Mountaineers may have to adjust their scheme a little bit to keep him from getting banged up. My next team would be South Carolina.

10/6 Record: 1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS, 3-1 O/U
Season: 12-10 SU, 13-8-1 ATS, 13-9 O/U

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