Saturday, November 24, 2007

Georgia Georgia Tech - Clean, Old Fashioned Hate

Georgia Tech vs Georgia 3:30 ABC
Line: UGA -3.5, 48
Georgia leads 58-38-5

Saturday will the last game for 18 Georgia Tech seniors. This group has 30 victories and 3 bowl appearances, but they are 0-3 against Georgia. This could also be Georgia Tech's Chan Gailey last game as head coach. Many rumors are swirling around Atlanta as to what this game means for his future. Gailey has led Tech to 5 bowls in 5 years and has never finished below .500 in conference, but he is 0-5 against Georgia - a sore spot that cannot be bandaged easily for many Tech fans.

Tech’s Tashard Choice leads the ACC in rushing for the second year in a row and could be the first back to lead the league in rushing for two straight years since Thomas Jones. Georgia will counter with redshirt freshman Knowshon Moreno who has had 5 straight 100 yards games; the first Bulldog since Herschel Walker to accomplish this feat. Both teams are much better at running than passing, both averaging above 175 ypg on the ground while under 200 yards passing per game.

Tech ranks very good against the run allowing just 89 ypg on the ground good for 8th in the nation. They allow under 300 yards total ranking them 7th in total defense. Georgia is also very good on defense having found cohesion at the LB corp after some starting lineup shuffles. Neither team is great at the turnover margin, but Georgia has done a very good job of taking the turnovers they get and turning them into points while Tech has struggled getting points off opponent miscues. This has been especially important in this game. GT has had 3 turnovers each of the last 2 years in this game, while the Bulldogs have had just 1. A controversial fumble last year turned out to the difference for Georgia in the win.

This rivalry has been extremely close over the last few years but Georgia has made the plays and taken advantage of their opportunities. For Georgia Tech to pull the upset, they need Choice to be a force on the ground and they cannot turn the ball over. I think they can do this, but Georgia will also play very well (even if they are checking the Tennessee-Kentucky score). Mark Richt has done the best coaching job of anyone in the country in the second half of the year and will make sure the Dawgs are focused on what they can control.

Georgia 23 Georgia Tech 13
Georgia Wins, Covers, Under

Mark Richt has never lost a non conference game in the regular season, including 6 wins over Georgia Tech

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