Friday, February 22, 2008
Tennessee Memphis Showdown
Tennessee @ Memphis
Number 1 vs Number 2, Battle of Tennessee, Calipari vs Pearl...all comes together at the FedEx Forum on Saturday night at 9PM on ESPN. These two teams play very similar styles of basketball - they like to run 'n gun, press, shoot the 3, and are not very good at the free throw line. Bruce Pearl and John Calipari have a had chilly relationship in the past, but both are mum on their teams chances and how important this game is. I think Tennessee wins by neutralizing Memphis' bigs and getting Chris Lofton going early from the outside. It will no doubt be a high scoring, up tempo game to watch.
Tennessee Memphis line
I picked Tennessee to win, but Memphis is going to be the favorite. A fair line for Memphis is right around -150. I think the link might be driven up to the -170 or -180 range by game time though. If you see a line on a big game going one way, take the other team; casinos get bigger for a reason.
Georgia @ Vanderbilt
We will never really know what Georgia could have been this year without the suspensions, dismissals, and dissension, but they have played tough most of the year. Vandy beat Georgia in Athens a few weeks back and the Commodores have been unbeatable at home. Vanderbilt wins this one going away.
Georgia - Vanderbilt line
I really don't see much of a chance for Georgia in this game and I would put the line at around -900 for the Commodores.
Arkansas @ Kentucky
I remember when these two dominated the SEC in the early 90s. Both have fallen on not as good times, but are still very competitive in the SEC. I have been very impressed with Kentucky in SEC play (especially after their non-conference resume). Patrick Patterson is a beast on the inside and seniors Ramel Bradley and Joe Crawford are playing like veterans down the stretch of the SEC season. I like Kentucky at home.
Kentucky Arkansas line
Arkansas is vying for the best team in the West, but they might be only 3rd best in the East. Kentucky has been very good at home and give them around -650 in this game.
Season: 52-14 (79%)
SEC: 26-5 (84%)