Wednesday, March 26, 2008

Tennessee Louisville Preview and Pick

reuters/yahoo

East Region
Charlotte, NC
2. Tennessee vs 3. Louisville 9:40 PM
Louisville Scouting Report:

The Cardinals look very similar to Tennessee except that Louisville is maybe not quite as deep, but they have more size. Louisville has great balance between their frontcourt and backcourt. They like to shoot 3's with Edgar Sosa, Jerry Smith, and Edgar McGee. On the inside, David Padgett and Derek Caracter are potential double double guys..

Tennessee Scouting Report:
The Volunteers are a fly by the seat of their pants team. They are going force turnovers with their press; force turnover on out of bounds; get break out points and 3 pointers; will have defensive lapses; and struggle in the half court at times. I thought Bruce Pearl had a great quote regarding this year vs last year's team. He said last year they were more dangerous, but this year they are better.

For Louisville to win:
Louisville needs to harass Tennessee's guards in the backcourt and limit the Volunteers points in transition. Louisville prefers to go outside to inside so they need to hit their outside shots early to open up the inside where they have a size advantage.

For Tennessee to win:
The Volunteers need to play better defense than they have in the first two rounds. If Tennessee gets bogged down in the half court then they have to get Chris Lofton open looks off of screens.

Prediction:
As soon as the bracket came out I loved this matchup in the Sweet 16. You have two coaches full of personality and closets of unusual suits. You have two teams who love defensive pressure. Louisville has been playing some of the best basketball in the Tournament blowing away their first two opponents while Tennessee labored for a while against 15 seed American and need OT vs Butler. I like Louisville in a nail biter. This will be the best Sweet 16 game.

Pick: Louisville

Tournament: 12-3 (75%)
Season: 92-34 (73%)
SEC: 42-17 (71%)

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