Thursday, October 23, 2008

Georgia Tech-Virginia Preview and Prediction

Virginia 4-3 at Georgia Tech 6-1
Saturday 3:30 PM
Line: GT -14

Two one loss teams from the ACC's Coastal Division meet on Saturday afternoon as Virginia travels to Georgia Tech. The Cavaliers are off a comeback OT win over UNC while Georgia Tech defeated Clemson on the road last Saturday. Virginia was left for dead after a 31-3 loss at Duke, but has ripped off three straight wins at home.

Virginia Offense vs Georgia Tech Defense
Nobody was sure what UVA would bring on offense after starting QB Peter Lalich was dismissed, but the Cavaliers have blossomed under Marc Verica. RB Cedric Peerman has returned the lineup and provided a much needed boost to the running game. The young offensive line is starting to gel led by Eugene Monroe, a likely top 10 NFL pick.

Georgia Tech's D has not missed a beat under new DC Dave Wommack. The line is the strong suit led by three seniors and a sophomore. The Yellow Jackets are allowing under 5 yards per pass attempt this season, but will be without top CB Jahi Word-Daniels this week out due to a hamstring. GT has given up just 14 points in their last 3 home games.

Georgia Tech Offense vs Virginia Defense
Surprisingly, a Paul Johnson team is being led by their defense and not the offense. QB Josh Nesbitt returned to action last week for the first time since Sept 27. RB Jonathan Dwyer is the leading rusher the B-Back position and Demaryius Thomas has turned into Nesbitt's favorite target at wide out. Many teams have tried to stuff the middle and force the ball outside. But the biggest thing stopping Johnson's offense thus far has been turnovers.

Virginia is led by their linebacking corp and the nation's sack leader from that position Clint Stintim. The Cavs defensive numbers have improved greatly over the last 3 ball games, but all of those were at home. In road games, UVA is giving up 38 ppg including 233 ypg on the ground.

I think it may be time for another break out game for Georgia Tech. After two straight weeks of the offense sputtering, Nesbitt and Dwyer are due for a big game. If Virginia wants to pull off the upset they have to create turnovers. I like Georgia Tech to open up the flood gates early on a road weary Wahoo football team.

Georgia Tech 30 Virginia 14
Ga Tech Covers -14

Last Week: 2-1 ATS, 3-0 SU

Season: 20-7-2 ATS, 20-9 SU


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