Keys to the Game:
Any time a team is this big of an underdog the will need turnovers to help sway the momentum and talent difference their way. I went back and watch Florida's win over Georgia and realized just how big all of those UGA turnovers were. FSU cannot afford to turn the ball over Florida's offense and they need to force a few of their own.
2. Keep It Close Early
We have seen just how explosive this Florida offense is the last month of play. FSU needs to keep it close early to stay in this one. Otherwise, that Florida offense could get a roll like it did last year and hit the 45 point mark again. Also, you do not want the Florida defense to be able to pin their ears back against a one - dimensional offense led by a freshman QB.
I think a big plus FSU has this year over last is a very good running game. I think the 'Noles can keep the ball away from Florida with a solid ground game. If they can limit turnovers they will have a chance in the 4th quarter. However, Florida has too much talent on both sides of the ball and puts the game away in the 4th quarter.
Florida 35 Florida State 24
FSU Covers +16.5
Last Week: 1-3 ATS, 2-2 SU
Season: 29-21-2 ATS, 34-18 SU
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