Friday, November 28, 2008

Florida vs Florida State Preview and Prediction


Florida State vs Florida
Line: Florida -16.5
Saturday 3:30 PM


This rivalry has lost a little bit of its luster over the past few seasons, but there is still plenty on the line for the Florida Gators who need a win to set up a showdown with Alabama next week. FSU will have one eye on the Florida Gators and one on the Boston College-Maryland game hoping for a Terps win to send the Noles to the ACC Championship Game. I am sure Seminole fans would also not mind knocking the Gators out of the national title picture as well.


Keys to the Game:

1. Turnovers

Any time a team is this big of an underdog the will need turnovers to help sway the momentum and talent difference their way. I went back and watch Florida's win over Georgia and realized just how big all of those UGA turnovers were. FSU cannot afford to turn the ball over Florida's offense and they need to force a few of their own.

2. Keep It Close Early

We have seen just how explosive this Florida offense is the last month of play. FSU needs to keep it close early to stay in this one. Otherwise, that Florida offense could get a roll like it did last year and hit the 45 point mark again. Also, you do not want the Florida defense to be able to pin their ears back against a one - dimensional offense led by a freshman QB.

Prediction

I think a big plus FSU has this year over last is a very good running game. I think the 'Noles can keep the ball away from Florida with a solid ground game. If they can limit turnovers they will have a chance in the 4th quarter. However, Florida has too much talent on both sides of the ball and puts the game away in the 4th quarter.

Florida 35 Florida State 24
FSU Covers +16.5

Last Week: 1-3 ATS, 2-2 SU
Season: 29-21-2 ATS, 34-18 SU

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