Tuesday, November 25, 2008

Tennessee-Kentucky Preview and Prediction


Tennessee vs Kentucky
Line: Tennessee – 4.5
Saturday 6:30 PM

This is Phil Fulmer’s last game as Tennessee head coach and he is playing a team he has never lost to, Kentucky. The Vols currently own the longest active winning streak (23) over an opponent (UK) and have not lost to the Wildcats since 1984.. Kentucky had an off week to prepare for this rivalry game after a loss to Vandy.

Keys to the Game:

1. What will Tennessee do at QB? Can They Do Anything?

Will they play Jonathan Crompton who threw one pass last week for an interception? Will they go with Eric Berry at QB who played both ways last week? Or maybe WR Gerald Jones. I don’t think the Vols can depend on getting ahead and holding on for dear life like last week because Kentucky has a better offense than Vanderbilt. I think UT needs to get something positive out of the QB position this week unless they are going to run for 300+ yards.

2. What Kind of Performance Will Randall Cobb Have?

Will we see something like the game the UK freshman had against Georgia or the letdown we saw against Vandy the following week? Being a freshman his psyche is fragile, but he should have been able to put away the bad game during the off week. UT Safety (and sometimes QB) Eric Berry is licking his chops at playing the freshman hoping to further increase his national INT lead.

Prediction

Tennessee played with a lot more emotion last week than they did in their prior game against Wyoming. The Vol Nation will have Phil Fulmer on their mind wanting to send him out a winner in his final game. But If I am Rich Brooks and the Kentucky Wildcats, I am stacking 9 guys in the box and making whomever Tennessee puts at QB beat me through the air. If Kentucky’s Cobb can limit the turnovers, the Wildcats have an excellent chance of ending this streak. I will take Kentucky in the upset.

Kentucky 27 Tennessee 24
Kentucky Covers +4.5


Last Week: 1-3 ATS, 2-2 SU
Season: 29-21-2 ATS, 34-18 SU


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