Wednesday, December 17, 2008

Wake Forest vs Navy Prediction


Eagle Bank Bowl
December 20 11AM ESPN
Wake Forest vs Navy
Line: Wake Forest -3

Navy and Wake Forest will kick off the bowl season this Saturday in a rematch of a September 27 game won by the Midshipmen. In that game, Wake turned the ball over 6 times to give Navy their first win over a ranked team since 1985. Navy ran for 292 yards led by Eric Kettani in the win. Wake Forest had just 43 yards rushing.

Keys to the Game

1. Turnover Battle

The Demon Deacons don't usually out gain their opponents by much depending mostly on playing sound, mistake free football. Navy is prone to turnovers with its option offense, but unless they turn the ball over the offense is very hard to stop.

2. The Play of Wake QB Riley Skinner

The junior QB has had a largely disappointing third season as a starter, including 4 INTs back in September. If he can keep the Navy defense off balance then they will have a tough time stopping an ACC offense.

Motivation

Many bowl games are determined by who is the more motivated of the two teams. Some times you have a matchup on one team who feels they were slighted by a higher against a team on the rise just happy to be in a bowl. I don't think either of these teams will have a problem with motivation in this game. Wake will want redemption for the loss in September, but Navy will be playing in front of a partisan Washington DC crowd at RFK Stadium.

Prediction

Wake has pretty unimpressive for most of this season after coming into the season with high expectations. I think the Deacons play better than their 6 turnover performance in September and eek out a win against a tough Navy team.

Wake Forest 27 Navy 21
Wake Forest Covers -3


Season: 31-30-3 ATS, 41-23 SU

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1 comment:

  1. Game Highlights from Wake Forest's win.

    http://sports.espn.go.com/ncf/recap?gameId=283552426

    ReplyDelete