Tuesday, January 27, 2009

LSU vs Tennessee Prediction:Tigers, Vols Highlight SEC Action

LSU Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers
Wednesday 8PM
TV: Raycom

Why is this game intriguing?

LSU and Tennessee both figure to be potential NCAA Tournament teams comes March. Both teams are near the top of the SEC with 3-1 conference records.

Tennessee's record indicates they are struggling at just 12-6, but they have played the 3rd toughest schedule in the nation thus far. LSU is an impressive 15-4, but with a schedule that ranks near the bottom of the SEC.

Why LSU will win?

1. The Tigers play very good defense allowing under 40 percent shooting from their opponents.
2. LSU turns the ball over under 13 times per game which is the second fewest in SEC games.
3. LSU averages eight more rebounds per game than their opponents in SEC contests thus far.

Why Tennessee will win?

1. LSU is 0-4 vs the RPI Top 50. Tennessee ranks #21 in the RPI.
2. The Vols have played the third toughest schedule in the nation with four losses by 10 points or less.
3. Tennessee ranks in the top 20 nationally in offensive rebounds and total rebounds per game.

What is the Key to the Game?

Tennessee's defense. The Vols defense has not played great this year allowing 43 percent from the field and 35 percent from the three point line. The Vols will be able to score points against LSU, but can they stop them in crunch time?

Prediction

Almost all of the stats point to LSU, but you have to take into account their much weaker schedule. When the Tigers faced their toughest opponent of the season last Sunday they lost by 10 at home. I think Tennessee takes this one, but closer than expected.

Tennessee wins by 2-8 points

Other SEC Games This Week:
South Carolina over Vanderbilt
Gamecocks are playing very well and are at home while Vandy is struggling

Florida over Georgia
"Just like football" chant will likely be heard and the score at halftime may be similar

Alabama over Arkansas
Bama's firing of Gottfried may actually rally the team and Arkansas is snake bit in the SEC

Auburn over Texas Pan American
Where is Texas Pan American?

Season: 9-7 SU through 1/25

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