Wednesday, September 2, 2009

Georgia Oklahoma State Preview and Prediction


Oklahoma State vs Georgia Bulldogs
Stillwater, OK 3:30 PM
Line: OkSt - 5.5

These two teams opened up the season in 2007 in Athens with Georgia winning handily. But Oklahoma State comes into 2009 ranked number 11 returning three of the most dynamic players on offense in college football. Meanwhile, the Bulldogs have to replace two first round draft picks from their offense, including the number one overall pick.

Oklahoma State Offense vs Georgia Defense

QB Zac Robinson returns for the Pokes with plenty of weapons to distribute the ball to. Robinson has been slowed during camp with a hamstring injury, but should be ready to go on Saturday afternoon. He will be protected by All Big 12 LT Russell Chung on a line returning three starters from last year. Kendall Hunter had over 1,500 yards last season, but sometimes gets over shadowed by teammate Dez Bryant. Bryant is a top candidate for the Biletnikoff Award this season catching 19 TD passes a year ago.

The biggest piece missing is TE Brandon Pettigrew who was a force in both run blocking and pass catching. Now comes word that Okie State's projected stater at TE has left the team. The Cowboys will need to find a target to compliment Bryant and prevent double and triple teams.

Georgia's defense gets back its top lineman lost in the season opener a year ago, Jeff Owens. The Bulldogs need to find a consistent pass rusher as UGA had just 24 sacks on the season. The linebackers and secondary are solid but nothing spectacular. Georgia's secondary is on the small side, which will be a disadvantage against the much taller Bryant.

The biggest pieces missing to the Bulldog's defense last year were tackling and adjustments in scheme. Due to injuries, UGA did not do as much tackling in practice a year ago and it really showed down the stretch against teams who get the ball to players in space.

Defensive Coordinator Willie Martinez drew fire in the off season mostly for his inability to make adjustments. Martinez will have to make adjustments on Saturday if he wants to slow the Pokes high powered offense.

Zac Robinson hopes to lead the Cowboys to the BCS this year

Georgia Offense vs Oklahoma State Defense

Senior Joe Cox finally gets his chance after three years sitting behind number one draft choice Matt Stafford at QB. Cox has been praised for his poise and leadership in the off season, but there will be a physical drop off. The tailback is somewhat settled with sophomore Richard Samuel getting the start, but expect to see Caleb King (if healthy) and redshirt freshman Carlton Thomas too. UGA may miss Knowshon Moreno the most in pass blocking and receiving out of the backfield.

The offensive line is much improved over the past few years and actually has some depth this season. Coach Stacy Searels is one of the best in the business and his line may have to carry UGA in the opener. Much like Okie State, UGA must find a second receiver to compliment A.J. Green. After an outstanding freshman season, Green will likely face double teams until a backup option is found.

Defensively...Oklahoma State didn't play much of it last year, but their numbers are inflated because of the offenses they played in the Big 12. The linebacking corps returns just about everyone and should be pretty good. A starting CB was arrested earlier this week and we don't know how that will play out in terms of playing on Saturday.

The Bulldogs are going to play between the tackles moreso than the spread passing teams Oklahoma State faces in the Big 12, so the Pokes defensive line will play an important role.

Coaching

Mark Richt is very good at home (42-9), but he is even better in opponent's stadiums (30-4). Last season, all the weight being preseason number one took a toll on his team's preparation according to the head coach. He feels his team is better prepared this season with a tough opponent to look forward to in the first game.

Mike Gundy is famous/infamous for this press conference antics, but he has brought Oklahoma State back near the top of the Big 12 in a short time. His offense is very innovative and explosive, but the defense needs to improve to take that next step. He brought in a new DC in Bill Young, Miami's DC last season, to improve a unit which ranked near the bottom of FBS in pass and run defense.

If UGA's coaches can make adjustments effectively, they may be celebrating like this

Prediction

Boone Pickens Stadium will be rocking with a new renovation and perennial SEC power Georgia visiting. If the Bulldogs can get an early score or slow down the Pokes they can start to take some of the emotion out from the crowd. Georgia needs to let their superior offensive line take over the game.

Oklahoma State wants to get players in space where they can test the tackling ability of a defense that really struggled last year. I expect their defense to test Cox early with blitzes and stacking the box to help against the run and make him beat them with their arm.

I really like Richt's teams on the road and although he has lost some star power, he might have gained in continuity and teamwork.

Georgia 34 Oklahoma State 31
Georgia Covers +5.5

2 comments:

  1. Anonymous9:17 PM

    good prediction but more like UGA-34 Okst-14

    ReplyDelete
  2. Thanks for the comment. Looks like the line is moving in UGA's favor. Down to +4.5 last I saw. The line was taken off the board middle of the week when rumors started flying about Zac Robinson missing the game.

    ReplyDelete

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