Friday, October 30, 2009

Georgia Tech-Vanderbilt Prediction: Yellow Jackets Try To Avoid Letdown


Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Vanderbilt Commodores
Line: GT -12

The ACC and SEC match up on Saturday night when ACC leader Georgia Tech travels to Nashville to take on the Vanderbilt Commodores. The Yellow Jackets have the ACC Coastal Division title in their sights but cannot afford a let down against a pesky Vandy team that nearly beat South Carolina last week.

The two head coaches have some history against each other competing for Southern Conference titles at Furman (Bobby Johnson) and Georgia Southern (Paul Johnson) in the late 90s and early 00s. Vegas has installed GT as 12 point favorites after opening at 13.5.

Three Keys For A Vanderbilt Cover

1. Stop The Option Inside Out
There is no blueprint to stopping this offense, but the teams who have the most success have stopped the run up the middle first and forced the pitch outside. On the pitch is where GT is likely to make the most errors and bog down their offense.

2. Get Some Offense

The anemic Commodores offense is averaging just 323 yards per game and 17 points on the season. It has gotten even worse as of late scoring 11 per game over their last three with under 300 yards of offense. The 'Dores have to be able to move the ball to keep with GT and cannot rely solely on special teams and defense to keep them close.

3. Get Some Turnovers
When you are an overmatched opponent physically you need something big to break your way and that usually involves turnovers. A wet field and ball would help Vandy as would forcing the pitch. See point one.


Three Keys For A Georgia Tech Cover

1. Control The Ball

Georgia Tech is tops in the nation in time of possession at nearly 35 minutes per game. It is hard for the other team to score when they do not have the ball. And if they cannot score they cannot win.

2. Cover Kicks

Vandy freshman Warren Norman has two kickoff returns for touchdown this season and averages nearly 30 yards per return. GT opponents have already taken one back this season and are getting nearly 25 yards per return. Also, GT has just one touchback this season.

3. Come Out With Energy

As I mentioned earlier, this game is a little different for Ga Tech because it is a non conference game in the middle of season against an SEC bottom feeder. Also, the atmosphere is not going to be even close to what Miss State has espcially if the weather is sour. The Yellow Jackets need to put this game away in the first half and not allow Vandy to gain confidence at home.

Prediction

Georgia Tech has really turned it up in their last three games especially on offense and if they keep executing teams will have a very tough time stopping them. But, if any coach is going to know GT's offense it is Bobby Johnson from his days at Furman.

However, Vandy simply does not have the players to line up man for man and beat Georgia Tech. The Commodores rank 87th nationally in stopping the run while GT is second in rush offense. Barring losing the turnover battle, I see Georgia Tech winning and covering.

Georgia Tech by 14
Georgia Tech Covers -12

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2 comments:

  1. The Virginia game was a good sign for Georgia. Coming off the huge Hokie win, there was no letdown for the Jackets. I expect the Jackets to roll in this one as well.

    This just looks like a team on a mission.

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  2. i agree (obviously). this is a game where paul johnson wins and chan gailey makes it go down to the wire.

    i like these acc vs sec matchups. need to be more of them. i would like to see GT match up with South Carolina or Auburn or Tennessee. Clemson with Georgia. Florida vs Miami every year. FSU vs Auburn and/or Alabama. I could go on and on but there is a lot of geography that collides here.

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