Thursday, October 29, 2009

SEC Predictions October 24: South Carolina, Tennessee Headline Undercard

The SEC East will shake out considerably after this week with the top four teams squaring off against each other. In the West, Ole Miss tries to stay on track facing a struggling Auburn team on the road. The East and West clash when Miss State and Kentucky meet in Lexington. Arkansas steps out of conference to face winless Eastern Michigan.

Last week I was 6-0 SU and 0-1 ATS in the SEC. I am going to pick all the games ATS this week and hope my luck with the SEC continues.

Ole Miss at Auburn
Line: Miss -4

The panic button is being hit in Auburn right now after three straight losses and an offense losing its steam after a fast start. Meanwhile, Ole Miss is starting to hit their stride winners of three of their last four.

Auburn is averaging half the points in their last three games as they were during their five game winning streak. But their defense is getting even worse allowing 32 over their last three. I don't think the Tigers are experienced or deep enough to overcome the negative energy surrounding the program right now.

Ole Miss by 13
Ole Miss Covers -4

Eastern Michigan at Arkansas
Line: Ark -38

The Eagles of Eastern Michigan are 0-7 on the season, but did run with Michigan down just 24-17 at the half. Arkansas should be over their sulking after the Florida loss as the SEC has all new officiating conflicts to worry about this week.

Neither defense is very good, but Arkansas offense is definitely better. The Razorbacks should run away with this one, but I do not think they cover this massive spread.

Arkansas Wins by 35
Eastern Michigan Covers +38

Miss State at Kentucky
Line: UK -3.5

The Dan Mullen shows goes to Lexington this week to face the resurgent Kentucky Wildcats. The Bulldogs have to be running low on energy after the effort expended against Florida last Saturday.

Miss State has played pretty well on the road this season beating Vandy and Middle Tennessee State. Kentucky has had trouble stopping the run and Miss State is averaging over 200 yards per game on the ground. I think this one comes down to the wire.

Kentucky Wins by 1
Miss State Covers +3.5

South Carolina at Tennessee
Line: Tenn -5.5

The two biggest mouths in the South meet in ESPN's Saturday Night game when Lane Kiffin's Volunteers meet Steve Spurrier's Gamecocks. Tennessee is coming off a gut wrenching loss to Alabama missing three field goals. South Carolina struggled but beat Vanderbilt at home.

Tennessee has really turned up the defense lately giving up just 319 total yards over their last three. And QB Jonathan Crompton has picked up his game after a rocky start to the season. Meanwhile South Carolina is still struggling on offense and relying heavily on their defense. I like the Volunteers at home with the confidence they brought back from Tuscaloosa.

Tennessee Wins by 10
Tennessee Covers -5.5

Updated 10/30

Realized I forgot LSU-Tulane...
LSU is 35 point favorites but I like the Green Wave to cover.

Tulane Covers +35


1 comment:

  1. killn' me with that UT v USC prediction. Hope you are wrong today.


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