Thursday, November 19, 2009

Clemson-UVA, FSU-Maryland, UNC-BC, Duke-Miami, VT-NC State Predictions

Five conference games to pick this week with the lead story line being heavily favored Clemson hoping to finally wrap up and ACC Championship Game berth with a win over Virignia.

Elsewhere, Boston College is hoping for a UVA upset to maintain their title hopes, but may have their hands full with a surging North Carolina team.

And could this be the last home game for Bobby Bowden as FSU? The long time Seminole coach came out this week and said he has made his mind up what he will do at the end of the season, but hasn't told anyone yet.

Last week was a good week for me going 11-1 SU and 7-4-1 ATS. How do you think I will fare this week?

Virginia Cavaliers at Clemson Tigers
Saturday 3:30 PM TV: ABC/ESPN

Line: Clemson -21

Two teams headed in opposite directions will collide in Death Valley when Virginia tries to spoil Clemson’s Atlantic Division title party.

With a win, the Tigers will wrap up a berth in the ACC title game. I think Al Groh’s job security at UVA has already been decided even with a Cavs upset.

Clemson has really picked up steam after their bye week, especially on offense led by their Heisman candidate CJ Spiller doing it all; running it, catching it, returning it, and last week throwing for a touchdown.

I don’t see how Clemson loses this game and since Tommy Bowden is no longer coaching I don’t think they will.

Clemson Wins
Clemson Covers -21

Maryland Terrapins at Florida State Seminoles
Saturday 12PM TV: Raycom

Line: FSU -19

People who don’t like good defense should like watching this game as these two teams rank at the bottom of the ACC in total defense.

But FSU does at least rank third in total offense while Maryland ranks 10th.

The Terps are having a very rough year all around plagued by turnovers and poor play in the red zone.

FSU surprised me last week with their execution going with a ground attack in the upset win over Wake Forest.

But I think the Terps are able to move the ball in this game and keep them close enough to cover a big spread.

FSU Wins
Maryland Covers +19

North Carolina Tar Heels at Boston College Eagles
Saturday 12PM TV: ESPN2

Line: BC -3.5

UNC is the hot team coming into this game, but it is BC who still has title hopes with a strong finish. Kind of the opposite of Maryland-FSU here as we have two of the top defenses in the conference going at it.

The Eagles have been a much better team at home than on the road this season out scoring opponents by 20 points per game in Chesnut Hill.

First year head coach Frank Spaziani deserves a lot of credit for having this team right back in the thick of things after two years of QB and coaching turmoil.

I was on the In The Bleachers podcast this week and picked the Heels, but after looking at the number more and specifically how well BC has played at home I gotta change my pick and go with BC to cover here.

Boston College Wins
Boston College Covers -3.5

Duke Blue Devils at Miami Hurricanes
Saturday 12PM TV: ESPNU

Line: Miami -20

If you like quarterbacks slinging the ball all over the field then make sure you tune into Duke against Miami on Saturday.

The Blue Devils rank first in the ACC in passing yards per game and Miami ranks fourth.

The Hurricanes recent slide can be attributed to their turnover problems because of teams getting pressure on QB Jacory Harris.

I like Duke to keep this one close for a while, but Miami takes this one in the second half.

Miami Wins
Duke Covers +20

NC State Wolfpack at Virginia Tech Hokies
Saturday 3:30PM TV: ESPNU

Line: VT -21

It is November and the Hokies are in an unfamiliar place, under the ACC radar.

Now that an ACC title is out of reach, Virginia Tech is focusing on getting the best possible bowl bid and that continues with a win over the howling Wolfpack of NC State.

Now the question is whether or not Va Tech can cover the spread. I think based on the way the Hokies have played at home and the way NC State has played on the road, VT will by a hair.

Virginia Tech Wins
Virginia Tech Covers -21



  1. I think the main goal for the Hokies now is to try and reach the 10-win mark again this season. That means no more losses, even in the Chick-Fil-A bowl if that's where they end up.

  2. Brent here in ATL I have heard the Chick Fil A bowl has their eye on Clemson if the Tigers aren't in the Orange Bowl. VT is the number two choice though.

    The question will be where a GT team would go if they are 11-2? Sugar? Could they fall all the way to Champs Sports?


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