Saturday, December 5, 2009

Florida-Alabama Preview: Can The Tide Exact Revenge On The Gators?


SEC Championship Game
Florida Gators vs Alabama Crimson Tide
Atlanta, GA
4PM TV: CBS

Line: Florida -5.5

It is finally here. The game every has been talking about, well, since last year. Everything worked out in college football and we have the two best teams meeting for the SEC (and maybe the BCS) Championship on Saturday in Atlanta.

You can find my keys for each team here - Alabama Keys, Florida Keys

When you have two teams so evenly matched, lots of times the game comes down to big plays. Big plays on special teams, turnovers, third down, and red zone conversions.

I do think this Florida team is not as good as they were last year. Alabama is at least as good as they were, but I don't know how much better they really are. If anything they may be deeper than they were last year.

I think you will see both teams try to take away the others' strength. So that will mean both teams will stack the box on defense and try and make the QBs pass the ball down the field. I give the edge to Alabama in being able to run the ball and stop the run, but I give Florida the edge in passing.

If there is one mismatch in this game, it is at the QB position. I am saying pretty much the same thing everyone else is saying here, but I think it is true.

I don't believe in destiny, but I do think Tebow can make a huge difference on Saturday.

Last year, Tim Tebow was very good on third down and in the red zone. If you go back and watch the highlights from last year Tebow was under duress many of those throws for touchdowns, but he made them.

I think Tebow's ability to beat the Alabama defense with his arm or his legs is the difference in the fourth quarter again.

Florida 28 Alabama 24
Alabama Covers +5.5

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