Saturday, October 2, 2010

Georgia Tech-Wake Forest Preview and Prediction: 3 Reasons To Like Each

Georgia Tech and Wake Forest are both hoping to bounce back after conference losses last week. Both teams start to the season has not been as good as they would like, but one team has gotta win Saturday night in Winston-Salem.

Vegas has installed the Yellow Jackets as 10 point favorites.

Here are three reasons to like each team.


3 Reasons To Like Georgia Tech


1. Paul Johnson's Record After a Loss


At Georgia Tech, Johnson is 8-0 after a loss including a 30-24 win at North Carolina this season. If you like the spread figures, Johnson is 6-0 against the spread after a loss the last two plus seasons. Since 2002, Johnson is 21-10-2 ATS after a loss.


But Tech fans mostly want to win and thus far Johnson is perfect following a loss including wins by 31, 18 and 17 points against BCS teams.


2. Wake Forest's Run Defense


The Demon Deacons have not had much success stopping teams on the ground this season. Jim Grobe's club is giving up 176 yards per game ranking 89th in the nation. Conversely, Georgia Tech is averaging 321 rush yards per game good for fourth nationally.

I know it doesn't seem like it because Tech's offense has faltered some this year, but they are on pace to exceed last year's average per game.


3. New Wake QB

Tanner Price started the season as Wake's QB, but a concussion last week will likely keep the dual threat signal caller out this week. Grobe will go with redshirt freshman Ted Stachitas who himself suffered bruised ribs against FSU a week ago.

Behind him is a redshirt freshman Brendan Cross who has thrown just five passes this season.


3 Reasons To Like Wake Forest


1. Georgia Tech's Defense is Getting Worse


The Yellow Jackets defense has allowed more yards with each game this season, including 527 last week to NC State. Here is the breakdown by game - SC State 272 yards, Kansas 320 yards, UNC 352 yards, NC State 527 yards.


2. Played'Em Tough Last Year


Georgia Tech was rolling last year having won six games in a row when Wake Forest came to town. The Deacs won the turnover battle and nearly the game sending Tech to overtime. The Jackets even needed a fourth down conversion in the extra period to win the game.
So far this season, Tech does not look near as good as they were last season.

3. Motivation

Georgia Tech came into the season with a target on their back after winning the ACC last season. NC State and Kansas have shown this team that went 11-3 last season is very beatable.
Combine the home crowd with Tech's unwillingness to show up with intensity for every game and Wake may be have a big advantage.

Prediction:

I think this game comes down to turnovers. If Tech can hold onto the ball, they will move the ball and score points. I am not nearly as sure if the Yellow Jacket defense can be as successful though, so expect a high scoring game.

Georgia Tech gets a touchdown in the 4th quarter and gets one stop to seal the win, but not the cover.


Wake Forest Covers +10

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