Saturday, November 20, 2010

Saturday Picks: Take Tennessee, Troy, Wisconsin To Cover

Here are the 3 games I feel most confident about for this weekend in this order.

Vanderbilt vs Tennessee
Tennessee is a much better team with Tyler Bray at QB the last few weeks. Their offense is scoring nearly at will now. Vandy's defense giving up a lot of points recently. UT still has a bowl to play for, Vandy has nothing to play for. Vandy will not have much of a home field advantage since UT fans will fill up nearly half the stadium.
Line: Tennessee -8.5
Stats: Tennessee -23; play Tennessee Cover

South Carolina vs Troy
South Carolina won their Super Bowl last week beating Florida and winning the SEC East. The team had a celebration late that night in the stadium so they didn't get off to a good start for the week on Sunday. Gamecocks know they play Auburn in SECCG and have rival Clemson next week so there is a look ahead factor. After a big win against UGA back in September, South Carolina didn't come close to covering against Furman the following week. Troy has shown they can play with BCS teams for a while in games and Spurrier will likely take out starters once he gets up to save for Clemson/Auburn.
Line: S. Carolina -22
Stats: S. Carolina -10; play Troy Cover

Michigan vs Wisconsin
Michigan's defense is terrible. Wisconsin scored 83 last week against Indiana even though they are primarily a running team. Bettors falsely fall in love with Michigan's offense because of Denard Robinson who gets banged up easily. Michigan has been consistently not covering this year
Line: Wisconsin -5
Stats: Wisconsin -15; play Wisconsin Cover

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