Thursday, December 30, 2010

Clemson-South Florida Meineke Car Care Bowl Prediction

The Tigers and Bulls square off in the second ACC vs Big East bowl with Clemson favored to notch a second ACC win.

When: Dec 31 12PM
Where: Charlotte, NC
Line: Clemson -5.5

Here are the three areas I always look at in bowl games to pick my winners.

Who Has The Better Team?
Clemson Offense YPP: 14.3
South Fla. Offense YPP: 13.3

Tiger fans should not be shocked to see that South Florida's offense has been more efficient than theirs this year, but Clemson 14.3 YPP is still a respectable number in the bowl lineup.

Clemson Defense YPP: 17.6
South Fla. Defense YPP: 15.8

The Tigers boast one of the nation's best defense led by Da'Quan Bowers who has punished opposing QBs all year. The Bulls have a decent defense, but it is not as good as years past under Jim Leavitt.

Clemson Sagarin Rating: 47
Clemson Strength of Sched: 37

South Fla Sagarin Rating: 64
South Fla. Strength of Sched: 79

Not surprisingly, Clemson has played the much tougher schedule with a game at Auburn (a game they should have won) really helping.
Egde: Clemson

Which Coach Will Have His Team Better Prepared?
Dabo Swinney is 1-1 in bowl games while his counterpart Skip Holtz is 1-3 (all at East Carolina).

Clemson has been favored in both of Swinney's bowl games. Holtz is 1-2 in bowl games as an underdog.
Edge: Even

Which Team Is More Motivated?
Both teams are coming off losses in their last regular season game. Rumors have been swirling as to possible staff changes at Clemson especially on the offensive side of the ball, but I don't see this as a reason for a lack of enthusiasm in bowl preparation.
Edge: Even

Prediction
The Tigers defense will keep them in this game and force second half turnovers that the offense turns into points.

Clemson 21 South Florida 17
Confidence: 16

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