Tuesday, December 14, 2010

Mark Bradley Makes An Incorrect Assumption About Mark Richt's Job Security At Georgia

The AJC's Mark Bradley opines that if Mark Richt and Georgia do not win the East next year then he is gone.

I disagree and would change the title to "If UGA Loses To Georgia Tech, That's It For Richt".

Bradley furthers my point by comparing Rich't last five seasons to Donnan's five seasons: "Richt is 44-20 over the past five seasons, 23-17 in SEC play. Jim Donnan, by way of comparison, was 40-19 and 25-15 in his five seasons at Georgia — and got fired."

Everyone knows why Donnan got fired. It wasn't because he didn't win the East or because he only beat Florida once. It was because he couldn't beat Georgia Tech losing his final three games against the Yellow Jackets.

Richt is 2-8 against Florida having faced three different Gators coaches and ending up with a losing record against all three, including Ron Zook. But he is 9-1 against Georgia Tech and the win this year very likely bought him next season regardless of what happens in the bowl game.

Bradley is correct on one thing,  in how easy the East will be for the taking next year.

"Florida is vulnerable in a way it hasn’t been since the overmatched Zooker was in charge. (Even Urban Meyer described the Gators as “broken.”) South Carolina filled the gap this fall, but even in a breakthrough season the Gamecocks didn’t bear the look of a colossus. They lost three regular-season games and nearly threw away the division title. They’ll be good again — Marcus Lattimore and Alshon Jeffery return — but probably not great. Georgia has the sort of schedule that can make for a great season. Its road games: At Ole Miss, Tennessee, Vanderbilt and Georgia Tech. The collective 2010 record for that foursome is 18-30. The Bulldogs don’t play Alabama, Arkansas or LSU."

By the time UGA rolls into Atlanta next year to face Tech they will very likely know if they will be coming back the following week because likely contenders, Florida and South Carolina, will be playing out of conference games also.  Only a very surprising season from Tennessee could change that.  Sorry Kentucky and Vandy fans.

Even with South Carolina winning this year and a coaching turnover in Gainesville, the East still goes through the Gators who have won three of the last five division titles and four of the last five games against UGA.

But if winning the East is so important then why hasn't Richt been fired already since he has not won it in 5 years and has a 2-8 record vs the dominant team in the division?
Mark it down, with at least a bowl eligible season and win over Tech Richt will be back in 2012.

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