Saturday, November 5, 2011

SEC Picks For November 5th

Vanderbilt at Florida
Both teams are coming off losses last week, but the Gators are reeling from their fourth loss in a row. This is uncharted territory for the Florida program and especially with a first year head coach.

While not getting over the hump in the win column, Vandy has been playing good teams close.

Florida had no business being within four points of UGA as they were dominated on the stat sheet. QB John Brantley is still not 100% and since Charlie Weis refuses to run the option with Trey Burton the Gators are one-dimensional on offense.

Florida wins this one but closer than Vegas thinks.
Florida 27 Vanderbilt 17

New Mexico State at Georgia
The Bulldogs will be without their top four running backs for this game, but should still win easily.

However, a Florida hangover with a very important game against Auburn next week could mean UGA will pack it up early and allow the Aggies a cover.
Georgia 42 New Mexico State 14

Ole Miss at Kentucky
The two worst teams in the conference meet in Lexington. Sigh. Neither offense is very good nor is both teams defense. But this game will be close at the end.
Kentucky 28 Ole Miss 24

MTSU at Tennessee
The stats tell me the Blue Raiders actually have a shot in this one especially if Derek Dooley want to continue to work on the passing with his young QB Justin Worley. But UT should be able to maul MTSU on the line of scrimmage and get a running game going to put this one away.
Tennessee 35 MTSU 17

Tennessee-Martin at Miss State

This one shouldn't be close.
Miss State 35 Tennessee Martin 3

South Carolina at Arkansas
You wouldn't know if you watched ESPN all week but there are two top 10 matchups this week in the SEC. However, the way these two teams have been playing they don't look like top 10 teams.

The Gamecocks offense is obviously struggling since the loss of Marcus Lattimore, but maybe the defense is finally coming around. Playing a team like Arkansas who likes to throw more than run is a good matchup for Ellis Johnson's defensive line.

The Razorbacks are likely to make Connor Shaw beat them throwing by loading up the box. I like Arkansas in this spot, but Steve Spurrier makes it close with some late heroics.
Arkansas 27 South Carolina 24

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