Thursday, March 1, 2012

SEC Football: 2012 Projected Win Totals Are Out

Early 2012 SEC win total projections from Beyond The Bets

1. Alabama is again projected to win the most games despite traveling to LSU and Arkansas this season as well as playing Michigan to open the season. The Tide are going to get so much action, the books are taking 10% juice on either side of the win total.

2. Vegas really wants you to bet LSU and over 10.5 wins. I think we may have a little BCS Championship Game hangover because the Tigers should be very, very good again next year.

3. Arkansas at 9 wins looks very good to me as both Alabama and LSU come to Fayetteville this season.

4. UGA is the favorite to repeat in the SEC East and no Boise State on the schedule this season as well as no Alabama, LSU, or Arkansas.

5. Based on the win totals and juice, every SEC team could be bowl eligible at 6 wins. I don't think that will happen.

Here are the projected win total and juice for each team:

ALABAMA
Over 10.5 (-110)
Under 10.5 (-110)

LSU
Over 10.5 (+150)
Under 10.5 (-175)

GEORGIA
Over 9.5 (-120)
Under 9.5 (EVEN)

ARKANSAS
Over 9 (-110)
Under 9 (-110)

SOUTH CAROLINA
Over 8.5 (-125)
Under 8.5 (+105)

FLORIDA
Over 8 (+110)
Under 8 (-130)

MISSISSIPPI STATE
Over 7.5 (-110)
Under 7.5 (-110)

TEXAS A&M
Over 7.5 (-110)
Under 7.5 (-110)

MISSOURI
Over 7 (-130)
Under 7 (+110)

AUBURN
Over 7 (-110)
Under 7 (-110)

TENNESSEE
Over 6 (-150)
Under 6 (+130)

VANDERBILT
Over 6 (-110)
Under 6 (-110)

OLE MISS
Over 5.5 (-140)
Under 5.5 (+120)

KENTUCKY
Over 5.5 (-130)
Under 5.5 (+110)

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